This Week in FX: Trump Is In.

What’s The Price?
This Week’s Key FX Prices

Anything catch your eye? USDJPY providing the most volatility (standard) as the rest of the market takes a “moment to breathe” after the recent moves. Trump is in office today, let’s see what the market brings.

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Seasonal Pattern Spotlight
Pattern Of The Week: GBPAUD

Historical data reveals an intriguing seasonal pattern for GBP/AUD, particularly between January 18th and January 30th, where the pair has shown a 75% win rate over 20 years. This period generates an impressive annualized return of 32.03%, with notable profit consistency.

From a macro perspective, January often sees the British Pound (GBP) gain strength due to year-start portfolio rebalancing and capital inflows into UK markets. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar (AUD) may lag as commodity markets, such as iron ore, stabilize post-December volatility.

Traders can leverage this seasonal edge by aligning with supportive fundamentals, ensuring risk management aligns with market conditions.

Macro Made Simple
Intermarket Relationships

When diving into macro trading, understanding intermarket relationships is a game-changer. For example:

1. Currencies and Commodities: The Australian Dollar (AUD) often correlates with iron ore prices. If iron ore surges, AUD might strengthen.

2. Interest Rates and Currencies: Higher U.S. interest rates typically boost the U.S. Dollar (USD) as global investors seek better returns.

3. Geopolitics and Safe Havens: Gold and the Japanese Yen (JPY) often rise during uncertainty as investors flock to safety.

By connecting these dots, you can anticipate moves and gain a deeper edge in the markets. Study, observe, and simplify your macro analysis for success.

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Market History Flashback
2016: A Significant Market Drop

On this date, the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a sharp decline, closing down 249 points after falling as much as 565 points during the trading day. This marked the worst start to a year in U.S. stock market history. The downturn was largely attributed to a significant drop in crude oil prices, which fell below $27 a barrel, contributing to global market volatility.

Why it Matters:
This event underscores how fluctuations in commodity prices, such as oil, can have a profound impact on global financial markets.

Key Events
Mark Your Calendars! 📅

Here are the main headlines for day traders to be weary of when trading this week.

View the full economic calendar on Trading Economics.

Weekly Deals
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